Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.008869 0.010479 0.012424 0.014988 0.018342 0.022673 0.028853
2025-07-20 0.006959 0.008897 0.011526 0.015498 0.021631 0.031304 0.049105
2025-07-27 0.005809 0.007802 0.010714 0.015542 0.023964 0.039562 0.075757
2025-08-03 0.005064 0.007056 0.010138 0.015640 0.026273 0.049063 0.116099
2025-08-10 0.004412 0.006309 0.009364 0.015127 0.027184 0.056338 0.163138
2025-08-17 0.003849 0.005607 0.008521 0.014245 0.026969 0.060867 0.211912
2025-08-24 0.003429 0.005074 0.007873 0.013571 0.026956 0.066080 0.280494
2025-08-31 0.003217 0.004858 0.007741 0.013893 0.029465 0.081425 0.480574
2025-09-07 0.002951 0.004515 0.007324 0.013510 0.030005 0.090690 0.714012
2025-09-14 0.002703 0.004178 0.006871 0.012953 0.029862 0.097394 1.015795
2025-09-21 0.002546 0.003986 0.006673 0.012940 0.031360 0.113830 1.902402
2025-09-28 0.002463 0.003921 0.006714 0.013506 0.035008 0.148330 6.281783
2025-10-05 0.002398 0.003895 0.006862 0.014473 0.041078 0.219361 185.240879
2025-10-12 0.002292 0.003782 0.006815 0.014941 0.045833 0.305876 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002167 0.003618 0.006632 0.014982 0.048928 0.398753 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002059 0.003476 0.006479 0.015074 0.052474 0.536099 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001927 0.003274 0.006161 0.014587 0.052778 0.626420 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001787 0.003046 0.005758 0.013748 0.050701 0.650617 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001671 0.002858 0.005434 0.013106 0.049464 0.700602 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001617 0.002796 0.005401 0.013413 0.054217 1.059745 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001533 0.002664 0.005183 0.013048 0.054513 1.267517 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001447 0.002522 0.004930 0.012516 0.053392 1.395313 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001394 0.002445 0.004829 0.012504 0.056021 1.979866 NaN